Reports

This multi-author report is a collaboration among experts from Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Germany, Romania, and the United States.

Why the Russian Military Fights the Way It Does

This report is part III of Delphi Global's ongoing report series on the Russia-China dynamic in Africa

This is part IV of four-part series on historical perspectives on Crimea and the Dniester: What 120 contemporary factors and 2,500 years of historical evidence imply about combined deprivation.

This is part III of four-part series on historical perspectives on Crimea and the Dniester: What 120 contemporary factors and 2,500 years of historical evidence imply about combined deprivation.

This is part II of four-part series on historical perspectives on Crimea and the Dniester. Geoeconomic, demographic, corridor, and technology vectors — and what they mean for the deprivation thesis.

This is part I of four-part series on historical perspectives on Crimea and the Dniester. What 2,500 years of evidence tells us about combined deprivation.

China and Russia have increasingly been grouped together as revisionist powers interested and intent on expanding influence across Africa. Both challenge Western political influence, cultivate relationships with authoritarian governments, and present themselves as alternatives to Western partnership models.

This report explores Russia's use of war crimes as part of its strategy in Ukraine. It aims to understand what Russian civilian targeting behavior tells us about Moscow's strategic logic.

This report aims to describe a microcosm of the overarching economic war between Western states and the Russian Federation.

Africa matters to both Russia and China now more than at any time in recent decades. For Russia to blunt isolation and profit from insecurity; for China to consolidate an alternative global order and protect long-term investments.

The term "Deep State" in the Russian context describes a purported shadow global governing structure that is believed to have an impact on international affairs, including US and EU decision-making. Russia uses this narrative to justify its own geopolitical goals, sow discord within pro-Western cultures, and undermine confidence in democratic governance both at home and in targeted states.

Transnistria represents not a frozen conflict but a weaponized platform demonstrating Russia's strategic innovation: achieving exhaustion-based victory through patient accumulation of positional advantages that, when activated synchronously, overwhelm Western consensus-based security structures without triggering decisive response.

Georgia’s latest crisis continues a centuries old pattern for the ancient South Caucasus nation. As a small country in an unstable but strategically important region, finding sustainable security and a geopolitical “home” was always going to be a challenge for Georgia.

NATO’s eastern periphery remains volatile and exposed to critical weaknesses in regional infrastructure. This continues to hinder military integration and rapid reinforcement.

The brief assesses Russia’s strategic options for continued westward aggression, concluding that the Danube Mouth axis represents the most rewarding, probable, and operationally realistic path. Since 2022, the US has strengthened its security posture in Romania, recognizing the region's strategic vulnerability, while the EU maintains its conflict-averse posture, emphasizing negotiation over deterrence