Eitvydas Bajarūnas
Senior Fellow
Ambassador Eitvydas Bajarūnas is a Senior Fellow at Delphi Global Research Center. He is currently the Representative of the Lithuanian Confederation of Industrialists to the European Economic and Social Committee (Brussels). He is a former Lithuanian MFA Political Director and former Lithuanian ambassador to Sweden, Russia and the UK. He is an international security expert with more than three decades of experience in foreign policy, NATO and EU affairs, hybrid threats, defense, and geopolitics. Until the summer of 2025, he was a Visiting Fellow at the Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA, Washington D.C.), where he focused on hybrid threat deterrence and developed policy recommendations for NATO, the EU, and democratic states. He remains a CEPA non-resident Senior Fellow. He is also an Associated Expert at the Vilnius-based Geopolitics and Security Studies Center (GSSC).

The War Has Reached Moscow, and the Russian Propaganda Machine Seems Lost
History shows that Russia rarely changes its behavior out of goodwill. But it has repeatedly changed its calculations when confronted with sufficiently strong and persistent pressure.
6/30/2026

The Parade in Moscow: To Be or Not to Be?
A sharp analysis of how Russia’s Victory Day parade has evolved from a symbol of historical remembrance into a tool of ideological control and geopolitical messaging under Vladimir Putin. Ambassador Eitvydas Bajarūnas examines how the Kremlin’s growing reliance on World War II mythology reveals both the strengths and deepening insecurities of the Russian regime amid the war against Ukraine.
5/26/2026

The Viktoria Bonya Phenomenon: How an Influencer Became a Stress Test for the Kremlin System
Russian social media influencer Viktoria Bonya’s unexpected appeal to Vladimir Putin revealed a new form of discontent emerging not from opposition circles, but from Russia’s apolitical mass audience.
5/1/2026

Russia Is Not Collapsing Yet. But We Should Prepare for the Moment When It Becomes Possible
In recent years, Russia has most often been viewed through the prism of the war in Ukraine. That is understandable, but this limited view of Russia can obscure important things happening there. The global noise contributes to this as well: US domestic politics, the increasingly transactional stance of Donald Trump, changes in Europe, rising tensions in the Middle East, and so on. All of this overshadows one essential question: What is actually happening inside Russia itself?
4/14/2026